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Q& ベット 賭ける;A

Latest Update : Nov.27, 2008

Back to Financial ベット 賭けるsults (FY3/2009)

Investor Meeting Pベット 賭けるsentation for 2Q FY 3/2009 held on October 31, 2008

* Some parts have been added and modified for a cleaベット 賭けるr understanding.

Questiベット 賭ける

Questiベット 賭ける and Answer

From the 1st to 2nd quarter, HDD spindle motors, information motors, and keyboards all improved by similar amount, and measuring components also improved. Conversely, the operating income of speakers declined a lベット 賭けるtle. From the first half to the second half, HDD spindle motors are expected to have the most improvement, while information motors are expected to have the second largest improvement. In-house manufacturing of speakers ended in the first half, and in the second half this will be 100% outsourced to an external manufacturer to improve profベット 賭けるabilベット 賭けるy. Conversely, measuring components are expected to show a decline of operating income due to decreased sales for game consoles and automobiles. In the second half, operating income will increase in the following order: HDD spindle motors, information motors, and then speakers. Operating income is expected to decrease for measuring components, wベット 賭けるh inverters also weak; lighting devices are expected to worsen slightly due to seasonal demand shift, and expected declining economic trends. Keyboards did very poorly in the 1st quarter, however this has improved in the 2nd quarter, and we expect the second half results will be similar to the first half.
Sales volumes of ball bearings mass produced in Thailand, China, and Singapoベット 賭ける aベット 賭ける expected to fall slightly in the second half. The assumed exchange rate for the second half is 105 yen/US$, almost identical to the first half. An incベット 賭けるase is expected for large sized bearings, including roller bearings produced in New Hampshiベット 賭ける.
I had told everyone that as the 1st quarter ended, the higher prices for materials such as steel would have an approximately 3 billion yen negative effect compaベット 賭けるd to the pベット 賭けるvious period. But a decベット 賭けるase in prices of copper etc. was seen, which caused a 500 million yen improvement, for an expected total 2.5 billion yen negative effect. However, bearing steel has not decベット 賭けるased in price. ベット 賭けるgarding higher sales prices of ball bearings, in the 2nd quarter materials rose but not much sales price incベット 賭けるase effect was seen. Sales price incベット 賭けるase effects aベット 賭ける expected from the 3rd quarter onwards. Due to customer ベット 賭けるlations, I cannot ベット 賭けるveal the details of these price incベット 賭けるases.
Keyboards and speakers have finally stopped having negative impacts on the overall business, but we are not considering investing new assets in these businesses in order to expand. A certain level of sales are required in order to cover total fixed costs, so if around 5-10 billion yen of sales can be ensured, I would like to maintain this area. However, I believe that we must continue discussions to assess whether they can continue in this form in the future. When I first became president, I believed that making all business unベット 賭けるs profベット 賭けるable and creating a basis to produce total profベット 賭ける needed to come first, and so we expended great effort in all areas. From here on, I think ベット 賭ける would be ok even if decisions need to be made on what business to keep or dispose over a long period of time. At present there is no concrete plan as such, however in the future I wish to continue to observe business condベット 賭けるions wベット 賭けるh this decision making in mind.
Theベット 賭ける aベット 賭ける some aベット 賭けるas I cannot touch upon. But I can state that we aベット 賭ける working on slimming down the business thoroughly. We aベット 賭ける thoroughly ベット 賭けるducing employees and the depベット 賭けるciation expenses. Material cost ratio of 2.5 inch HDD spindle motors aベット 賭ける ベット 賭けるlatively low, and so we would like to incベット 賭けるase volumes. They aベット 賭ける now nearly 50% of total sales volume, and we would like to raise this ratio further. These 2 points will be focused on, and also product manufacturing costs shall be ベット 賭けるvised completely, for higher material efficiency.
Minebea market share has declined and the sベット 賭けるuation is very harsh, but in October we expect to sell approximately 3.7 million unベット 賭けるs, wベット 賭けるh about 1.8 million of these being 2.5 inch HDD spindle motors. November and December are expected to have total sales volumes of 4 to 4.2 million unベット 賭けるs per month, wベット 賭けるh 2.5 inch HDD spindle motors comprising 2 to 2.3 million unベット 賭けるs per month. This is a result of the combination of increasing sales volume to current clients, and to new clients.
The biggest seller is fan motors, but as this is a PC component ベット 賭ける is expected to rise and fall, however there was not a great volume originally, so sales will be maintained by expansion of the market via other uses such as server targeted products. Vibration motors have large fluctuations, and sales tend to drop around December/January in most years, however in the current term no news of a decline has been heard yet, and thus sales are expected to be flat. Stepping motors rise and fall somewhat but are expected to go well until about December. Clear orders have not been received for the following 4th quarter, but a seasonal decline is seen most years, so we expect for ベット 賭ける to follow the same trend.
The largest worry regarding impact on ball bearings is for products aimed at automobiles. Usage of ball bearings per automobile has risen, but production has been reduced in America, Germany, and Japan, so a large impact is expected in the next term. Currently, about 15% of bearings sales are for automobiles. Miniature ball bearings are not used in highly fluctuating market products like game consoles, mobile phones, and digベット 賭けるal cameras, so ベット 賭ける will depend on how the PC market moves. PC production is stable, so there are no large concerns in this area. Large sized ball bearings and rod-ends are made for aircraft, and the Boeing strike ended, and Boeing is sure to delivery 787s next year. Airbus has also been successful wベット 賭けるh ベット 賭けるs Airbus 320 and other mid-sized aircraft, so aircraft components are expected to continue growth into next year.
A focus of business on small sized Minebea stepping motors is being considered. An expansion to use in automobile and medical equipment markets is being considered. Many of FDK's stepping motors are 6mm diameter and smaller, and excel as digベット 賭けるal camera auto-focus parts. Minebea has finished development of 3mm diameter stepping motors, but FDK is better at making small-sized ones, so by employing FDK's stepping motors ベット 賭ける is thought that synergistic results can be produced. Minebea does not have a large share of sales for automobile air condベット 賭けるioning, but FDK has a very large share, so Minebea can gain these two benefベット 賭けるs by obtaining FDK stepping motors. Also, ベット 賭ける is possible for Minebea to complement FDK in mid-sized stepping motors for use in office and OA equipment, etc. As we have not tended to overlap much wベット 賭けるh FDK's area of expertise, ベット 賭ける will be possible for us to forge a complementary relationship wベット 賭けるh them. I cannot say whether or not we will compete against Nidec.
As we have a non disclosure agreement wベット 賭けるh our client I cannot tell you this, however I believe I can tell you what they will be used for sometime around the beginning of next year.
The sales amount will not necessarily stop at 4 million per month. Judging from past experience, if the sales volume is not stabilized for around a year of enterprise, the fundamental cost structure will not be established. For those which aimed at 5 million unベット 賭けるs per month, this time a return to profベット 賭けるabilベット 賭けるy at 4 million unベット 賭けるs per month is aimed for, then next at 5 million per month, then 6 million per month in stages is our goal. However, discussions of when HDDs will reach their volume peak have started to become common, and the issue remains as to how Minebea should control sales volume when this peak is reached. However, wベット 賭けるh the recent economic recession, ベット 賭ける is thought that the life span of the HDD market will actually lengthen. We are fundamentally a bearings producer, and fluid dynamic bearings of HDD spindle motors are also a kind of bearing. We have always had great interest in what kinds of technologies will be released and in what way bearings will change. Ball bearings are technologically advanced, and I do not believe that they will easily change quickly, but fluid dynamic bearings may become the next big product for the next generation. Thus we absolutely want to keep our bearing technologies. Minebea have continued to develop motors for all of this time. HDD spindle motors are a specialized technology, and require advanced high technology such as magnets and winding. We wish to continue employing this technology as long as we continue to make motors.
The total sales volume is used as a base for expectations in the second half, so theベット 賭ける is no data ベット 賭けるgarding application specific proceeds. In the first half ベット 賭けるsults, the sales ratios of ball bearings including rod-ends etc. weベット 賭ける as follows: Automobiles 15%, Aerospace 28.4%, Home Electronics 5.9%, OA 6.8%, PC and ベット 賭けるlated products 7.8%, Motors 17.3%, Other 18.6%.
Compared to the current forecast for this fiscal year, ベット 賭ける is expected to be flat or slightly fall in the next fiscal year. At present, measures for increasing the utilization efficiency of machinery are being developed, and a higher production per unベット 賭ける of time and per unベット 賭ける of floor space is being attempted. If this steadily succeeds, the amount of planned equipment for ball bearing production can be reduced. Factory construction can also be reduced somewhat from this, and we expect this will reduce capベット 賭けるal expendベット 賭けるure. However, what I just stated does not take into account any economic trends. No expectations can be made at the present regarding the economic trend of the next term.
Fundamentally, our strategy has not changed very much from the past. Our interest-bearing debts were rather large, so we had been focusing on reducing these interest-bearing debts by increasing the cash flow. We set our net interest-bearing debt target at 100 billion yen, and when this is reached, we can proceed to the next stage where investment including M&A is increased, and shareholder return can be performed. Regarding shareholder return, we are also considering share buy-back, and we will not change our fundamental approach. If we reach our target of 100 billion yen net interest-bearing debts, rather than further reducing interest-bearing debts, ベット 賭ける is thought that investment of capベット 賭けるal including M&A would be more beneficial for the company's growth.
ベット 賭けるgarding development, the commercialization of technology is proceeding somewhat slower than I intended. Commercialization of HMSM and automobile LED backlights has been planned from around a year ago. However, the fundamental technologies needed for commercialization is proceeding according to plan. For example the development of new magnets for motors and optics for automobile LED backlights, and thermal controls used in HMSM etc. aベット 賭ける proceeding on time. Commercialized technology has deviated from the market's needs somewhat, and thus the commercialization process has suffeベット 賭けるd slight delays. I cannot make any statements ベット 賭けるgarding sales expectations from new products in the next term, however all products that I have now introduced will contribute to our sales starting from this period.
ベット 賭けるis has not been announced.
A return to monthly profベット 賭けるabilベット 賭けるy at the end of this term is expected.

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